“We’re gonna win the game, I guarantee it.�
Do you recognize that quote? If you don’t, you should. This is probably the greatest prediction ever made by a player, in a time when player predictions actually meant something. Who is the player, you ask? None other than Joe Namath, predicting the
outcome of Super Bowl III. The New York Jets were facing off against the Baltimore
Colts and were 10-point underdogs. The brash young QB would follow through on his prediction, winning 1969’s big game 16-7. His boldness was innovative and would be copied time and again throughout sports history by some of the game’s greatest athletes. Recently, however, this trend has gotten a little out of hand.
“I know we goin’ win. I know we goin’ bust they ass. Tomorrow night is the last game
here in this building this year. Y’all can quote me, put it back page, front page, whatever.�
Now I know most of you know who this is. It’s Detroit’s Rasheed Wallace giving his
usual playoff prediction. This prediction came after a Game Three loss to the
Cleveland Cavaliers and Lebron James. Rasheed was pretty much explaining, in his own
crazy language, that the Pistons would defeat the Cavs in Game Four and wrap up the
series back home in Game Five. Wallace’s predictions have become so common that
writers have coined the phrase ‘guaransheed’ to explain his constant predictions.
This is Wallace’s fourth such prediction and there is one problem. The Pistons lost
Game Four. This forces me to bring forth the ultimate question; do player
predictions mean anything anymore?
I have thought long and hard about this topic and came up with a checklist of sorts
to see if this ‘guaransheed’ actually constitutes a meaningful prediction.
First off, if you are trying to be bold and make a prediction, you or your team must
be the underdog in the contest.
- Nope. Sorry Rasheed, but your team is the heavy favorite to win the NBA
Championship. This in no way constitutes the Detroit Pistons as the underdog against
the fourth seed Cleveland Cavaliers. No one on this Pistons team should be making
any guarantees, unless they find themselves down in a playoff series, and that is
very unlikely to happen now.
Second, what does a guarantee mean if the game that is being predicted is not the
championship? My answer: absolutely nothing.
- You have come up short once again Rasheed. This is the second round of the
playoffs, not even the Conference Finals. Save your predictions for that round, or
even better, the NBA Finals. A second round prediction, especially when your team is
up 2-1 games, means absolutely nothing to me.
Finally, make sure you come through with solid play in the game you made a
prediction about. There is nothing more embarrassing than predicting a victory and
then having a less than stellar performance. Ask Seahawks TE Jeremy Stevens, he’ll
tell you.
- Would you believe it that Rasheed falls short once again? I would hardly call 7
points and 3 turnovers a stellar performance. Simply said, Wallace talked the talk
but did not walk the walk in Game Four.
So let’s sum up what we have learned today. The Pistons are heavy favorites to win
this series, Wallace’s prediction did not come true during an all-important game,
and Rasheed had a pretty poor performance in Game Four. To add further insult to
injury, the Pistons actually lost the game. Rasheed’s predictions have come to mean
absolutely nothing and these types of player predictions have become a real problem.
If you can think all the way back to the first round of the playoffs, Ron Artest
made a similar bogus prediction, but for different reasons. He predicted the Kings
would win the championship; only the Kings were the eighth seed and no one took them
seriously. Especially after they lost in round one to the Spurs. Some other athletes
actually make predictions just to pump themselves up. A classic example is Joey
Porter, the linebacker from the Pittsburg Steelers. Before the 2006 Super Bowl,
Porter made all kinds of predictions for the sole purpose of giving his team reasons
to win the game. If these predictions and trash talking are the only way to get
pumped up for the SuperBowl, you have a serious problem.
I am going to close with one important message to all athletes such as these. Leave
the prediction making to the experts and the media. We, like you, might not know
what we are talking about, but at least we get paid for it. All your bogus
predictions about games that aren’t very significant are just diluting your
importance and turning you into a circus act. The next time I hear a player
prediction, I’ll know it’s more valuable as entertainment than actual information.
Written by Michael Rothman, a writer for WagerWeb.com